Q4 Doldrums

Chris Brown, CIO Global equities are down around -8% for the quarter as we type on Friday 26th October. It is always tempting to theorise about why this should be and we have a couple of good hypotheses for the sell-off below. But it is also worth restating the basic maxim that you earn the […]

Read More

Q3 2018 Investment Review and 2019 Outlook

After a relatively quiet 2017, markets have once again become jumpier this year. Since the end of January, the US S&P 500 Index is +2.1% as we write. However, the UK FTSE 100 Index is -3.9% and the MSCI Emerging Market Index is down a whopping -21.5% (see Table 1). Is this an opportunity or […]

Read More

Trade War Tensions

Ros Price, Investment Committee Member. Donald Trump was elected President of the US in part because of his powerful slogan that put ‘America first’ and his strong belief that the rest of the world has been treating the US badly and indeed, unfairly, in terms of trade. Some may find this assertion strange given the […]

Read More

What if a hard Brexit actually happens?

Chris Brown, Chief Investment Officer With six months to go, we thought it would be a good time to take stock of where we are on Brexit and the implications the different possible outcomes would have on our portfolios and returns. From a market perspective, a fudgy, compromisey, typically European style deal which pleases no […]

Read More

Jeremy Corbyn, Political Risk, and the UK

Chris Brown, Chief Investment Officer What would happen if Jeremy Corbyn swept to victory in 2020 with a decisive Labour majority? Does April’s revival in UK equities mean markets are more optimistic about a Brexit deal? Here we look at UK political risk and how it might affect our clients’ investment portfolios. Tax rates and […]

Read More

Q1 2018 Investment Review and 2018 Outlook

2017 turned out to be an unusually quiet year for financial markets. Politics was as rumbustious and headline making as always but markets generally look through this unless someone somewhere is about to do something really stupid (like start a trade war, of which more below). Meanwhile, the news from the economy was of strong […]

Read More

Q4 2017 Investment Review

Our outlook at the start of 2018 is pretty similar to the one we had at the start of 2017. We know that equity markets have come a long way since the lows of 2009 and we know that we are probably nearer the end of the current economic cycle (which is now over seven […]

Read More

Priceless – Tidings of Comfort & Joy

Ros Price, Investment Committee Member. It’s the time of year when – at least until MiFID ll rule changes allow starting next January – when fund managers have inboxes deluged with the outlook for next year. Most make quite turgid reading I am sorry to say and that’s not just the content, but the writing […]

Read More

Priceless – China and its new assertiveness

Ros Price, Investment Committee Member. More than two thousand delegates meet, on a five yearly basis, in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, in order to revise the constitution of the Communist Party of China as well as appoint the New Central Committee, Politburo  and incidentally to appoint or re-appoint the Party leader […]

Read More
Page 1 of 3123